Safe Games (“Locks”)
New York Jets @ Buffalo Bills (-3.5)
Projected win: New York Jets, 57.2%
Projected ATS win: New York Jets +3.5, 65.6%
Look past Sanchez and put faith in the Jet’s D.
Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers (-16.5)
Projected win: San Francisco, 73.7%
Projected ATS win: Arizona +16.5, 67.9%
Arizona boasts one of the best – if not the best – defenses in the NFL. 16.5 is too many points for SF to overcome.
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos (-16)
Projected win: Denver, 68.7%
Projected ATS win: Kansas City +16, 65.0%
Peyton Manning is great; but, again, 16 points is too large of a margin to overcome.
Chicago Bears (-3) @ Detroit Lions
Projected win: Detroit, 53.8%
Projected ATS win: Detroit +3, 61.0%
The Lions have had a lot of “bad luck” this season. Look for that to turn around against the Bears at home.
Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5)
Projected win: Baltimore, 53.7%
Projected ATS win: Baltimore +2.5, 60.0%
The Ravens are a great team, even with a sub-par defense. They’ll take down the Bengals in an important rivalry game.
St. Louis Rams @ Seattle Seahawks (-10.5)
Projected win: Seattle, 67.6%
Projected ATS win: St. Louis +10.5, 58.0%
The Seahawks’ latests run of 150 points over their last three games has skyrocketed their stock with the public. Go with St. Louis to play the odds.
Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Giants (-7.5)
Projected win: New York Giants, 61.2%
Projected ATS win: Philadelphia +7.5, 57.6%
Even Nick Foles can keep the Eagles within striking distance of the demoralized Giants.
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Tennessee Titans (-4)
Projected win: Tennessee, 55.6%
Projected ATS win: Jacksonville +4, 54.6%
Jaguars and Titans are both god-awful. But if you wanna toss the Jags a +4 bone, they’ll take it to the bank (with 54.6% chance, that is).
Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Redskins (-3.5)
Projected win: Washington, 60.9%
Projected ATS win: Washington -3.5, 52.8%
RGIII and the Redskin offense at home are too good for the Cowboys to handle.
Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots (-10)
Projected win: New England, 69.4%
Projected ATS win: Miami +10, 52.5%
Miami’s defense is going to do to the Patriots what the SF defense did – well, almost.
Green Bay Packers (-3.5) @ Minnesota Vikings
Projected win: Green Bay, 60.8%
Projected ATS win: Green Bay -3.5, 51.9%
Green Bay’s passing attack is too good for the epic Adrian Peterson-led rushing attack of the Vikings.
Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints (-5)
Projected win: New Orleans, 62.6%
Projected ATS win: New Orleans -5, 51.8%
The Panthers are the team of the future, but the Saints are still better for now.