Pittsburgh Steelers offensive coordinator Todd Haley has had this game circled for almost a year now.
The former Kansas City Chiefs head coach was fired mid-way through last season, after reaching the playoffs the season before. No doubt Haley feels slighted by a Chiefs organization that will be coming to Pittsburgh to try to steal a win from his new team.
Haley’s offense has been looking solid as of late, putting up a combined 51 points the last two weeks against the Washington Redskins and New York Giants. Haley can only hope those numbers continue tonight, given a struggling KC defense.
And they probably will: the computer formula predicts the Steelers will score 25.2 points tonight, significantly higher than the typical league average of 22. Roethlisberger and his top wideout Mike Wallace have been rolling since mid-October. If the KC d-line and linebackers can’t get pressure, Roethlisberger will have no problem racking up huge yards through the air and ground.
But will the improving Steelers’ defense be able to handle the pedestrian Chief offense? As my old baseball coach used to say, rhetorical question: the computer formula has the Steelers holding the Chiefs to 19.1 points.
Look for this game to be a solid W for the Steelers.
The bookies have the Steelers as 13-point favorites. Low chance the Steelers win by 13 or more.
Bold prediction: Steelers win on suffocating defense 21-10.
DynamicPicks Computer Prediction:
Kansas City Chiefs @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-13)
Projected win: Pittsburgh, 66.7% – CORRECT
Projected ATS win: Kansas City +13, 62.9% – CORRECT
KC +13 has a lot of value; it sits more than 10% above the profitability threshold.