Safe Games (“Locks”)
Orlando Magic @ Brooklyn Nets (-8)
Projected win: Orlando, 70.7% – INCORRECT
Projected ATS win: Orlando +8, 86.0% – draw
Orlando is heavily favored to win, so they should have no problem covering an 8-point spread.
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Oklahoma City Thunder (-10)
Projected win: Oklahoma City, 92.9% – CORRECT
Projected ATS win: Oklahoma City -10, 78.5% – CORRECT
OKC is the fourth highest rated team; Cleveland is the lowest rated team.
Sacramento Kings @ Los Angeles Lakers (-9)
Projected win: Los Angeles, 86.4% – CORRECT
Projected ATS win: Los Angeles -9, 68.3% – CORRECT
If the Lakers played like they did against the Warriors two nights ago, there’s no reason they can’t be even better against the Kings.
Atlanta Hawks @ Los Angeles Clippers (-6)
Projected win: Los Angeles, 54.9% – CORRECT
Projected ATS win: Atlanta +6, 62.3% – INCORRECT
Atlanta retained its core and picked up some pieces this last offseason. No reason they should be any lower than 62.3% ATS.
Miami Heat (-2) @ Memphis Grizzlies
Projected win: Miami, 55.3% – INCORRECT
Projected ATS win: Miami -2, 51.8% – INCORRECT