Safe Games (“Locks”)
Los Angeles Clippers @ Portland Trailblazers
Projected win: Portland, 63.9% – INCORRECT
Projected ATS win: Portland +1, 63.9% – INCORRECT
No major reason to believe these stats are largely biased any direction. POR +1 appears to carry a lot of value (63.9%).
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Chicago Bulls
Projected win: Chicago, 65.8% – INCORRECT
Projected ATS win: Chicago +2.5, 71.8% – INCORRECT
These stats, on the other hand, are biased towards Chicago, due to the Rose injury. Still, the Bulls are a formidable team without Rose. The actual percent may be less than 71.8%; but by how much? Can’t be more than 10% (at the very worst, 15%) and both of those would give profitable percentages.