NFL Week 9 – Sunday Games

Safe Games (“Locks”)

-none-

Playable Games

Denver Broncos @ Cincinnati Bengals

Projected win: Cincinnati, 56.2% – INCORRECT

Projected ATS win: Cincinnati +4, 63.1% – INCORRECT

Manning’s move to the Broncos makes CIN +4 worth less than its apparent value (63.1%). Still, a playable game.

DEN 31-23

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Oakland Raiders

Projected win: Oakland, 59.7% – INCORRECT

Projected ATS win: Oakland -1, 59.7% – INCORRECT

OAK -1 is a recommended play

TB 42-32

Minnesota Vikings @ Seattle Seahawks

Projected win: Seattle, 53.8% – CORRECT

Projected ATS win: Minnesota +4.5, 56.0% – INCORRECT

Mild value play on MIN +4.5

SEA 30-20

Dallas Cowboys @ Atlanta Falcons

Projected win: Atlanta, 62.6% – CORRECT

Projected ATS win: Atlanta -4, 55.0% – CORRECT

Straightforward game: ATL -4 has some value

ATL 19-13

Detroit Lions @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Projected win: Detroit, 55.4% – CORRECT

Projected ATS win: Jacksonville +4.5, 53.8% – INCORRECT

Slight value play on JAX +4.5

Chicago Bears @ Tennessee Titans

Projected win: Chicago, 55.5% – CORRECT

Projected ATS win: Tennessee +4, 53.4% – INCORRECT

Mild value in TEN +4

CHI 51-20

Unplayable Games

Carolina Panthers @ Washington Redskins

Projected win: Washington, 58.7% – INCORRECT

Projected ATS win: Washington -3.5, 52.0% – INCORRECT

No value

CAR 21-13

Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns

Projected win: Baltimore, 57.5% – CORRECT

Projected ATS win: Cleveland +4, 51.1% – INCORRECT

No value

BAL 25-15

Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts

Projected win: Indianapolis, 51.1% – CORRECT

Projected ATS win: Indianapolis +1, 51.1% – CORRECT

 No value

IND 23-20

Pittsburgh Steelers @ New York Giants

Projected win: New York, 56.7% – INCORRECT

Projected ATS win: Pittsburgh +3.5, 50.3% – CORRECT

No value

PIT 24-20

Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans

Projected win: Houston, 72.2% – CORRECT

Projected ATS win: Buffalo +10.5, 50.2% – INCORRECT

No value

HOU 21-9

Arizona Cardinals @ Green Bay Packers

Projected win: Green Bay, 75.3% – CORRECT

Projected ATS win: Green Bay -11, 50.2% – CORRECT

No value

GB 31-17

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