MVP Aaron Rodgers and his Green Bay Packers head to the Pacific Northwest to take on a revamped Seattle Seahawks squad that’s hungry for a nationally televised upset. The Hawks are three-and-a-half point dogs, meaning the Vegas bookies are giving little respect to Seattle’s tenacious home crowd.
This game is essentially a toss-up. Despite Seattle’s defensive abilities, Green Bay maintains a significant advantage with their offense on the field. What the running game lacks, the passing attack more than makes up for. Expect the Packers to put up around 24 points tonight.
QB Russell Wilson and the Seahawk offense are on par with the Packer defense. The Seahawks have the advantage when they run the ball, as the Packers have many holes to fix in the heart of the defense: 300+ pound B.J. Raji can only take up so many defenders. The Packers have the advantage when the Seahawks go to the air. (See: Jay Cutler’s Week 2 performance.) If the Seahawks can’t get effective yardage on the ground, they’ll be forced to go to the air, which could have dire consequences for an inexperienced QB like Wilson. I predict Seattle to score three TD’s tonight – two via the ground and one through the air.
Obviously if this game was played in Green Bay, I would have predicted a drastically different outcome. But because it’s in Seattle, which has proven to give a hyper-effective advantage to their hometown Hawks, I have to limit the overall potential of the Packers and give a decent boost to the team wearing neon green. Still, Green Bay wins by a field-goal.
Bold prediction: Green Bay wins after putting up two fourth-quarter TDs, 24-21.
DynamicPicks Computer Predictions:
Green Bay Packers @ Seattle Seahawks
Projected win: Green Bay, 55.0% – INCORRECT
Projected ATS win: Seattle +3.5, 56.2% – CORRECT
Avoid Green Bay straight-up. In fact, it is actually advantageous to take the Hawks straight-up. Definitely take Seattle +3.5. At 56.2% it has tremendous spread value.